Cardinals vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 24
Updated July 24, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
Brendan Donovan and the St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres this Thursday at Busch Stadium, with the game scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. The Cardinals come into this matchup as the favorites at -158, while the underdog Padres are at +133 odds. St. Louis is also favored by 1.5 runs with odds at +138. The total for this matchup is set at 8 runs jiliko-bet.
Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cardinals-Padres game, including insights on the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB action on FOX Sports.
Cardinals vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 24, 2025 at 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
- How to watch on TV: FDSMW and SDPA
| Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total Over | Total Odds | Total Under | Total Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -158 | +133 | 8 | -107 | -114 | -1.5 | +138 | -164 |
Cardinals vs. Padres Prediction
Score Prediction: Cardinals 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Cardinals 53%, Padres 47%
Cardinals vs. Padres Betting Insights
The Cardinals have been favored in 48 games this season, winning 26 (54.2%) of those matchups. St. Louis has recorded a 7-3 record when oddsmakers list them as at least -158 favorites on the moneyline. They have a 61.2% chance of winning this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Padres have emerged victorious in 24 out of 49 games where they were the underdogs, translating to a 49% win rate this year. San Diego has claimed victory in 8 of their 18 games when tagged as underdogs of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline. Their implied probability of winning stands at 42.9% based on the sportsbooks’ moneyline for this game.
Cardinals Recent Betting Performance
The Cardinals were positioned as the favorite on the moneyline in seven of their last ten games but ended with a record of 3-4 in those contests. In the last ten matchups, the Cardinals and their opponents combined to surpass the set run total five times. Their record against the spread over the last ten games stands at 4-6-0.
Cardinals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| Home Runs | 7 |
| ERA | 5.29 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Cardinals Player Insights
Brendan Donovan is leading the Cardinals this season, hitting at a .292 average with 8 home runs and 39 RBIs. His home run tally ranks 161st in Major League Baseball, while his RBI count puts him at 121st.
Alec Burleson has a batting average of .290, with 17 doubles, 12 home runs, and 25 walks, ranking 101st in homers and 85th in RBIs among Major Leaguers. Nolan Arenado has 15 doubles, 1 triple, 10 home runs, and 26 walks with a .241 average. jilihot login Willson Contreras leads the team with 13 home runs and 57 RBIs, entering this game on a four-game hitting streak with a .333 average over his last five games.
Cardinals Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+140) |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+185) |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+210) |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+195) |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0. S7775 (+210) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
The Padres have been underdogs in six of their last ten games, winning four of those. They and their opponents have combined to hit the over in three of the last ten games when the total was set. San Diego has achieved eight wins against the spread in their last ten opportunities.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| Home Runs | 8 |
| ERA | 2.48 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Padres Player Insights
Manny Machado is leading the Padres with 18 home runs, 61 RBIs, and a batting average of .285, ranking 32nd in home runs and 22nd in RBIs across the majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 14 doubles, 2 triples, 16 home runs, and 55 walks while hitting .262, placing him 49th in homers and 93rd in RBIs in MLB. Luis Arraez also stands out with a .285 batting average. Xander Bogaerts has a .268 average, tallying 22 doubles, 6 home runs, and 43 walks.
Padres Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0. phdream.login5 (-230) | 1.5 (+140) | – | 0.5 (+215) |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+165) |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+175) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+140) | 1.5 (+105) | – | 0.5 (+255) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1. bl777 win slot5 (+175) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+200) |
What are your predictions for the upcoming game between the Cardinals and the Padres?
